Global Warming Facts

Global Warming Facts

SOME RELEVANT FIGURES FOR CURRENT BEHAVIOR
OF GLOBAL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE

by Dr. Richard Lindzen



What impact does deforestation, desertification
and farming methods have on global warming?

Editor's Note: Viewing the global temperature records shown on the tables and analysis to follow, one might immediately ask: Even if recent warming may be leveling off since temperature records are arguably flat for the last ten years - what if they aren't? That is the classic, and not cavalierly dismissed, question from the global warming alarmists. Then again, what if we successfully cool the planet, avoiding climate catastrophe by banning spurious combustion, only to regret that in the process we never developed a fleet of passenger and cargo transport aerospaceplanes, and as a result were unable to spacelift the throw-weight necessary to stop an asteroid from hitting our planet and wiping us out?

Beware of how often you play the "we-do-this-or-we-all-perish" card while relying on the precautionary principle. How often must we transform and reorganize our entire industrial base, just to avoid a plausible, but somewhat (if not extremely) low probability of leaving ourselves vulnerable to certain slaughter? And should we shift our focus away from ridding the air of really noxious pollutants; micro-particulates, sulpher dioxide, carbon monoxide, lead, ozone, just to reduce C02 emissions?

The data in the following set of tables, compiled by Dr. Richard Lindzen, an atmospheric scientist from MIT, only goes back to the mid 19th century; there are only about 150 years of data. Per-WWI data could be skewed. Depending on whether or not that is true, or even so, there is only about a 0.5 (one-half degree) centigrade change in global temperature that is clearly indicated. But what if the recent 25 year rising trend doesn't fall? What are the 500 year trends, year by year? Do we know? What are the 10,000 year trends?

What if the earth really is warming - what if the data takes another leap, then another, instead of settling back to the 150 year mean? Do we combat this by curtailing and controlling all burning?

Why instead don't we simply replace more of the 40% of forests that has been lost in the last 150 years, and restore to life 30% of the deserts that have marched forward over the last 150 years? We can plant trees in the cities while we're at it, to ameliorate the hugely significant additional effect of the urban heat islands of our world's new mega-cities. Do we strip the last forests to grow biofuel, instead of simply constructing (usually on rooftops) photonic and thermal solar-electric arrays that consume - by well over two orders of magnitude - far less space? Wouldn't we rather replace desert with ranges and farms, and ranges and farms with forest, and put canopies of green across our cities, rather than regulate all burning? - Ed "Redwood" Ring